NHL — Slapshot 1.0

Framework built

• Slapshot 1.0 model

  Edge-gated, goals-denominated, FastBreak transplant

• Period Sim (v2)

  Monte Carlo period-by-period; OT/SO logic; margin + totals distribution

• Sharp Cut NHL

  Market-blended hybrid; bet-or-pass; graded on ROI + CLV

• Five prop engines

  SOG · Points · Goals · Assists · Anytime Goal

• Dual-source adapter

  NHL Stats API + Supabase cross-verification

• Backtest harness

  Ready for 4-season closing-line dataset

• Capture + settle routes

  /api/nhl/capture-predictions + /api/nhl/settle-predictions wired

Configured

• Supabase schema

  Apply nhl_*.sql migrations

• NHL Stats API pull

  Run scripts/nhl/build_team_stats.py + build_player_rates.py

• ODDS_API_KEY

  Confirm plan covers icehockey_nhl

• TRACKING_CRON_SECRET

  Required for cron auth

• Seed impact ratings

  Top skaters + goalies for opening week

Running

• First capture

  Awaits October — capture cron fires daily, no-ops on empty slate

• First injury report

  Daily reports start preseason camp (September)

• First settled pick

  Settle cron runs daily after overnight west-coast games end

• Backtest validated

  Plug 4-season NHL Stats API + odds-history into the harness to tune coefficients